India's 2026-27 coffee output seen down 4% to 6.14M bags as weather hits Arabica yields
USDA FAS Mumbai projects India's coffee crop falling to 6.14 million bags (3.68 lakh tonnes) in 2026-27, with Arabica yields dropping 8% to 452 kg/hectare. Domestic consumption inches up to 1.58M bags, with soluble/instant formats commanding 73% of household demand at just 0.04 kg per capita.
USDA projects India's 2026-27 coffee output to fall 4% to 6.14 million bags on weather stress, mainly hitting Arabica yields. Domestic consumption rises marginally, with soluble/instant coffee driving 73% of household demand.
Why this matters
USDA FAS Mumbai's projection signals a second consecutive pressure point on Indian Arabica, with weather-driven yield declines reshaping export availability while domestic instant coffee demand quietly expands.
Retail-brand signals steady at 540 over the last 90 days.
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