Macquarie keeps Underperform on Meesho, sees 30% downside to ₹125 target

Macquarie said Meesho’s low average order values and order frequency could constrain sustainable profitability. It forecasts 21% NMV CAGR from FY26 to FY29, but expects margins and NMV growth to trail broader market expectations.

— Filed Tue, 28 Jul, 2026, 09:00 IST · Source NDTV Profit · Updated

Macquarie retained an Underperform rating on Meesho, citing low average order values and insufficient order frequency as barriers to sustainable profits. It forecasts 21% NMV CAGR through FY29 but sees Meesho’s valuation as unjustified, with Rs 125 target implying 30% downside.

Why this matters

Macquarie’s profitability concerns follow Meesho’s ₹202 crore Kirana Club acquisition to expand B2B retail and reports that Valmo logistics insourcing has stalled at about half of shipments.

Retail-company signals are accelerating, up 387067% QoQ.